Opinion
The army headquarters has taken 15 officers into military custody in ‘respect’ of the ICT’s arrest warrant issued on October 8. They were not handed over to the court within 24 hours as per the provisions of the Civil Act. The army headquarters’ press release reads – ‘The army is not involved in kidnappings and murders’. The 15 people have been kept in a ‘sub-jail’ in the cantonment without being produced in court. In common law, this is a violation of the ICT’s warrant.
The ICT’s Chief Prosecutor and Press Secretary said – ‘As per the recommendations of the Missing Commissioner, arrest warrants may be issued against many more’. Again, both of them later said – ‘No more arrest warrants will be issued against anyone now’. How did they say that in advance? If these 15 people name more people in court, will no more warrants be issued?
The back-and-forth between ICT, the government, and the military over the arrest warrant seems like a ‘big-picture’ affair. Is it really? Here are some of the things that come to mind when trying to find the answer:
It will not be easy to prove the crimes of the accused generals because it will be difficult to present evidence. The cases of disappearances and murders have not been investigated in the last few months, but nothing has been found. As a result, a drama has been arranged with the challenge of ‘hands can be touched in big places’. Among the officials who supported the interim-Jamaat-BNP in July-August, there are ‘their people’ who will be royal witnesses. The tribunal will give a verdict based on their testimony. By making the generals royal witnesses, the blame will be placed on the shoulders of Sheikh Hasina and a few ministers. Those generals who do not want to be royal witnesses will be found guilty and tried.
If the tribunal can finally judge, it will be seen that Sheikh Hasina will be given a severe punishment by punishing the generals without naming them, so that she will not be able to come to the country to contest the elections.
The ‘courage’ to accuse the generals did not come by chance. They know that they are issuing arrest warrants for ‘their own people’. That is why they were able to do it easily. They may have also received assurances from the special group of the army. If it were not for this ‘shadow of justice’, the army would have spontaneously taken to the streets by now.
Even if Sheikh Hasina is eliminated forever through the judiciary, the countrymen and foreign countries will not speak out because the trial and verdict were not given by Jamaat-BNP-Interim-NCP, but by the International Criminal Tribunal.
By issuing arrest warrants in the names of the generals, the generals are being somewhat covered up for the infamy they earned as partners in Yunus’s ‘master plan’ on August 5, 2012. The work is quite well thought out and almost perfect.
But those in the military who were not part of these meticulously designed plans are naturally very angry. To appease their anger, the issue of the generals being handcuffed and taken to court in prison vans in public has been ‘minimized’.
It is not unusual to have another thing in this plan, that is – if they could not keep General Waqar ‘neutral’, they would not have been able to bring down the government. So even though ‘apparently Waqar is a Jamaat-Interim-NCP-BNP man’, they think that Waqar actually gave Sheikh Hasina a safe exit, and is still secretly working for Hasina’s return. As a result, they have a plan to remove him too. The evidence of this is that in the last fourteen months, the Sikh-Adhuli leaders and activists have publicly ‘fired cannons’ against Waqar.
There is a strong propaganda or rumor going on in and outside the cantonment – ‘Walker’s name is coming in the next arrest list’. According to Walker, he has not been successful in going door to door to avoid cases, arrests, trials, etc. in the names of officers. Once the ‘courtesy’ interim Major General has issued warrants in the names of Lieutenant Generals, then a warrant can be issued in the name of General Walker as well. What will he do if a warrant is actually issued in his name too?
Bangladesh Army Chief General Waqar-uz-Zaman has postponed his scheduled five-day visit to Saudi Arabia, which was scheduled to begin on October 14, to avoid potential unrest in the wake of the detention of 14 army officers.
In addition, a four-member team of the Indian Military Intelligence Unit, led by Major General Kundan Kumar Singh of the Indian Army, is scheduled to arrive in Dhaka between October 14 and 16 (although this news of India’s ‘Northeast News’ has not been published by any other news media and the Bangladesh government does not consider the news of this portal to be credible), but a detailed report has been published on the ‘BANGLADESH MILITARY FORCES’ website. Regarding the publication of the news, it is said there – ‘Neither the Arms Forces Division nor the Indian Embassy has published the news due to professional responsibility.
This is the first time that the Indian Military Intelligence team is coming to Dhaka since the interim government led by Muhammad Yunus took office on August 8, 2024. Naturally, this is the first major visit of such an important unit.
The itinerary states that “Indian Army officials will hold a series of important meetings with various units of the Bangladesh Army, including the Armed Forces Division and the Air Force, as well as meetings with the Directorate General of Forces Intelligence, Army Aviation Group and the 10th Infantry Division Headquarters.”
Anger, outrage and frustration were expressed at a gathering of 57 generals on October 9, when four officers opposed a move to arrest 24 officers accused of disappearances, secret detentions and torture during Sheikh Hasina’s 15-year tenure as prime minister.
General Waqar-uz-Zaman, who had earlier cancelled his visit to New Delhi between October 12 and 14, has decided not to go on the ‘important’ visit to Saudi Arabia.
Since August 5 last year, various ranks of the Pakistan Army, ministers, secretaries, and ISI intelligence officers have visited Bangladesh several times. This is the first visit by any Indian Army officer to Bangladesh in the last fifteen months, and it may be due to Waqar’s ‘wish’. India has been sitting idly by for so long, and previously the Indian Army Chief had virtual talks with Waqar. Now that the incident has ‘ripened’, they too may want to be active, and this may also be the case.
‘Northeast News’ sources further said- “The Army Chief does not want to take any risks by going abroad at this time. He is not scheduled to meet Indian Army officers, but he will remain in Dhaka and monitor the situation arising out of the arrest of 14 officers to ensure that there is no further disturbance within the officer corps.”
Let’s assume that the trial of those detained in the cantonment’s ‘sub-jail’ begins and they are sentenced to various terms based on ‘eyewitness testimony’. What then? Politically, the interim-Jamaat-BNP-NCP faction will benefit. They will extend Muhammad Yunus’ term of power by organizing a referendum before the election, saying that ‘the situation is not suitable for holding elections’. Then, at their convenience, they will share power between Jamaat-BNP-NCP and run the government by making a farce in the name of elections. Muhammad Yunus will become the President and Tarique Rahman will become the Prime Minister. In this, the main sponsor of their conspiracy, US imperialism, will take control of three ports including Chittagong, the Matarbari deep sea port, and the gas block in the sea. A naval base will be built in St. Martin, several army bases in the country. Cox’s Bazar and the surrounding area will become the ‘battleground’ to seize Myanmar.
US imperialism is making such plans in the country through its Color Revolution. On top of that, they are being accompanied by the notorious I/S/I of Pakistan, whose field marshal is already allowing Pakistan to become almost an “American colony”. Allowing Americans to use all Pakistani ports, suddenly invading Afghanistan from Pakistan, and killing the leader of TTP are all indications of this.
Let’s say Waqar is defeated in this game of power between the International Crimes Tribunal, the interim government, Jamaat, BNP, NCP and the army, and an arrest warrant is issued against him. What could happen then?
Given the situation, Walker has only three options open to him:
1. If an arrest warrant is issued, he will lose his position as army chief and surrender himself to the court.
2. Legally challenge the authority of ICT by withdrawing support from the government.
3. Overthrow the interim government by having the president issue an emergency law.
However, observing the events of the last fifteen months, it can be assumed that he could have prevented the anarchy if he had wanted to, and would not have allowed his oath to protect the country to be broken, but the fact that he has allowed a deep conspiracy to be implemented in the name of ‘humanity’ and is trying to maintain a ‘good boy image’ of ‘not taking sides’ does not give any indication that he will follow path number 3. What will happen then? No one can say for sure what will happen? But whatever happens, for now, not a Chandan Tilak is going to be painted on the foreheads of the common people of Bangladesh, but a greater kind of suffering and anarchy.
Manjurul Haque
14 October 2025
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